The second half of this year is full of risk, risk, risk. Not sure where the reward is (other than short). The next several months are going to be nasty.....with an emph…
Equity markets are getting ever more narrow. AI and tech stocks are masking a lot of underlying weakness. Hey, but who cares? We all know markets only go up, right? News…
This is the longest lasting "tired market" EVER! The AI stocks are holding the S&P index up (and I'm very bullish on AI) but the majority of stocks are crap. I want to b…
With summer just getting under way and vacation time picking up, I continue to stress the need for market neutrality......EXCEPT BITCOIN. Gold is off for the week, ETH i…
Interest rates are not going down. If rates sitting where they are can't get inflation under 3%, what will it take to get inflation down to the fed's target of 2%?? Ans…
OVERALL. ALL the markets (equities, commodities, crypto) feel like there may be a huge speculative upside "blow off" coming. Exciting? Yes. Scary? Yes, that too.
The S&P 500 added a bit more this past week. Why? I don't get it. Obviously being short ain't fun, but in my defense being long BITCOIN and short the S&P 500 (hedged) ha…
Ideas? Id' just say get neutral and lighten up. BITCOIN and ETH are biding their time before heading for new highs. I stay long term super bullish but right now it may b…
I love BITCOIN and ETH and have for a very long time. Long term holder. BUT, now is not the time to be in BTC or ETH. Lighten up or be out. Things are getting nasty. I…
The S&P has bounced back up after recent selloffs but there's still not a big change on the week. Gold had a fun trip to $2,400 and just took an almost $100 drop. With t…
With everything going on I am going neutral on BTC, ETH & GOLD for now. Short S&P 500. Old saying on the trading floors...."I'd rather be out of the markets wishing I wa…
Remember, inflation is not the same as the cost of living. The cost of living is up over 30% since 2020 and the fact that it is only increasing by 3% now rather than 8%…
There is a HUGE trap door under the S&P 500 index. Be prepared for a HUGE drop. Be short (a little or a lot) or be left out.
BITCOIN has buyers. Lots of buyers and more coming. MicroStrategy and Michael Saylor have been huge buyers. With the 'halving' coming next month the supply of BITCOIN wi…
Inflation (CPI) came in a bit hotter then expected last week, gold rallied, bitcoin rallied and declined which is what the S&P 500 did. All a big yawn....except for bitc…
Spoiler alert; very sad to report that the "Never Bitcoiners" have been wrong...again. Their hopes for BTC going to zero are diminishing. Michael Saylor (Chmn of Micros…
With the major action concentrated in the digital assets and gold, the S&P 500 is beginning to exhibit some wear and tear. There is something 'afoot' and the flight to b…
Only a few days left in February. 17% of 2024 is gonna be gone. Hope it has been a good two months. If you have been in Bitcoin, Ethereum or AI stocks, congrats.
It is going to be particularly tricky to make 'informed' investing decisions. One thing for certain, stock (S&P 500) valuations are stretched to say the least. Equity ma…
The S&P 500 at 5,000 has seen the top. Those nice returns over the past few years are now in the rear view mirror. If you didn't hear the bell ring.....you're deaf. Sho…
Expanding war. Interest rates staying high. Inflation inching up. Election shenanigans. What could possibly go wrong? Pretty sure we will find out at some point.
Inflation. For the life of me I cannot understand how jumping people's cost of living up 20% and then cheering when that 20% rise is "only" adding 3% a year now is a wi…
The stock market (S&P500) got to new all time highs & are living in a fantasy world. Right now we have a toss up for the S&P 500. A huge melt up & bull market blow off,…
What if everyone is wrong again this year BUT for the wrong reasons? What if interest rates don't get cut.....or raised? What if inflation doesn't perk up......but stays…