Stay vigilant as you view government numbers-a 25% revision down on employment is not a statistical anomaly. Statistics 101 will teach you 25% is really far off (maybe…
I can take a very broad stroke at the year ahead. The equity market will not go up 25% again. There are WAY too many bullish (and invested) people out in investing land.
Beginning very soon you will be subjected to every market "guru", analyst, fortune teller, tiktok genius and lunatic forecasting where things are going in 2024. Take y…
There has been a HUGE disconnect between markets and actual economics and the population's overall financial condition. Since COVID, it can be argued the equity market h…
It's a really good bet there will be a spot Bitcoin ETF shortly. Elizabeth Warren and Gary Gensler can't stop it. But, the real news is the amount of pent up demand for…
For the week, gold is basically flat (off 1%) after hitting a new all time high, the S&P 500 is up a tiny bit and (applause please) bitcoin and ethereum exploded up.
Looks like the race is on. ETH and gold. The bets are on ETH ultimately trading above gold. Bitcoin surpassed gold way back in 2017 and never looked back. It's ETH'…
I remind the equity bulls expecting a year end rally (has this been it?), there is another month in 2023. You may have heard of it......December. Inflation may be modera…
If I were long equities. I sure would have FOBI (fear of being in). What could possibly go wrong, right? I'm sure we will find out. Have markets become politicized?
The economy is not as strong as people think. That may be a plus for interest rates, but not for equities. There is a recession coming and it will "come out of the blue."
The S&P 500 is a "dead index walking." Be out or short. The downside will be nasty. Again, my opinion, down on the year. Be careful. Continue holding or adding to BITCOI…
Just in case you may not have noticed........a new bear market in stocks is now underway. Very stealthy at first. Realize that before all your neighbors do.
S&P 500 and equities are continuing to expect both strong earnings AND a Fed easing. However, ignoring world events plus interest rates NOT easing will result in a HUGE…
The S&P 500 took a dive and then staged a rally. Why? I have no idea. The equity market will "discover" reality and the big dive will happen. Tough to be short BUT what…
As I have been saying for months, get out and/or get short the S&P. Only seven to ten stocks got the index where it is. The downside is going to be nasty.
While most financial markets are under pressure, bitcoin and ethereum are holding firm. No matter what you may think (I think bullish), there is a massive institutional…
End of the third quarter is only two weeks off. Lots of investors may want to take some profits before the last quarter of the year. And, the ones who wait for a year en…
September and October (are notoriously "unfriendly" to the equity markets. Just a reminder if you have equity positions. You are part of a very bullish group, and very c…
Bad news is good news, right? NO, NO NO. That was pre-summer. Welcome to the post-summer season. A hurricane is brewing for the financial markets.
So what's coming after this summer is over? I fully expect there will be a sharp stock market selloff (yup, sticking to it). When you realize you should get short.....it…
Interest rates are still moving higher (as predicted here), inflation is staying stubbornly high (as predicted here) and cracks are appearing in the economy (as predicte…
Bill Taylor is taking a well-deserved vacation this week and will return to publication the week of 8/21. In the meantime, you can check out all his prior reports here
IT'S SUMMER. IT'S AUGUST. IT'S THE TIME FOR "DO NOTHING" MARKETS. BTC & ETH dropped slightly on the week (Tue-Tue), gold dropped, too and the S&P 500 was virtually uncha…
Have you noticed (i have) there are now multiple ways to gauge inflation. Confuse investors like a magician so they ignore the obvious. No matter what, it’s getting more…